Sunday, June 28, 2015

Player 2015 Keeper Values (UPDATED Star Ratings)






Here is your annual player ratings report.  Players who are worth keeping are given a 1-3 star rating.  *** = optimal keepers, ** = solid keepers, * = you still get some value when keeping. 

For those who care, I used a loose algorithm (your mom’s a loose algorithm!).  I took the current NFL.com ADP for every player that was even close to being keeper- worthy.  I rounded the ranking down and divided by 12 (we have 12 teams).  I then rounded that number down and compared it to the 2015 value of the player.  The reason I rounded the #’s down twice is because we have a 2 keeper league and players are mostly taken earlier than generic ADP’s say they should be taken because we draft 24 less players from the field (2 keepers each).
When comparing our modified ADP to the player’s 2015 value, the earlier the round we are talking, the more likely to have more value.  For example, Skip is picking at the end of the first round and has the chance to keep Lacy who NFL says is the top player in the draft.  He gets a ** value based on the move up in the 1st round.  Whereas Eli Manning gets 1 star because his 2015 value is 11th round and his adjusted ADP is in the 8th round.  However, those are junk rounds and do not carry as much weight.   

I put the stars out based on how far you would move up had you drafted the player this year using the rounds moved up in a tier system.

1st round / 2-3rd rounds/ 4-7 rounds/ 8-14 (junk) rounds

Next order of business is figuring out a Saturday between now and Labor Day to have our draft.  Remember the youngins (me, holly, tommy, fern, ed, and larry) are responsible for a keg of beer (6 ways will not be too expensive and I know the old fucks love bud light).  We just need Jansson to commit to 1 Saturday without soccer or Kismet house.  I mean cmon real men play real man sports where you grab balls with your hands and not kick them around like girls!

FOR THE WATCH!!!
                                                                                                                                                               
SKIPLER

Name
Position
2014 Value

2015 Value
Star Value (*-*** or n/a)
CJ Anderson
RB
FA

7
***
Kelvin Benjamin
WR
10

8
***
Ahmad Bradshaw
RB
FA

7
Randall Cobb
WR
3

1
Rob Gronk
TE
3

1
Alshon Jeffrey
WR
8

6
**
Rashad Jennings
RB
7K

5
Charles Johnson
WR
FA

7
Eddie Lacy
RB
3k

1
**
Peyton Manning
QB
2

n/a
Demarco Murray
RB
1

n/a
Brock Osweiler
QB
FA

7




TWATTY

Name
Position
2014 Value

2015 Value
Star Value
Joique Bell
RB
7K

5
*
Reggie Bush
RB
2

n/a
Julian Edelman
WR
7K

5
*
Jonas Gray
RB
FA

7
Brian Hartline
WR
11

9
Calvin Johnson
WR
1

n/a
Eli Manning
QB
13

11
*
Donte Moncrief
WR
FA

7
Greg Olsen
TE
5

3
Tony Romo
QB
4

2
Wes Welker
WR
3

1




BUTT FUMBLERS

Name
Position
2014 Value

2015 Value
Star Value
Matt Asiata
RB
FA

7
Leveon Bell
RB
3k

1
*
Legarette Blount
RB
FA

7
*
Anquan Boldin
WR
10

8
Tom Brady
QB
5

3
Larry Donnell
TE
FA

7
Matt Forte
RB
1

n/a
Jeremy Maclin
WR
4

2
Jordy Nelson
WR
2

n/a
Phillip Rivers
QB
11

9
*




REVERSE COW GIRLS

Name
Position
2014 Value

2015 Value
Star Value
Gio Bernard
RB
5k

3
Antonio Brown
WR
4k

2
**
Dez Bryant
WR
1

n/a
Isaih Crowell
RB
FA

7
Antonio Gates
TE
FA

7
*
Lamar Miller
RB
7

5
**
Aaron Rodgers
QB
2

n/a
Kyle Rudolph
TE
6

4
Torrey Smith
WR
8

6
Kerwynn Williams
RB
FA

7
Marquess Wilson
WR
FA

7




BEATS BY RAY

Name
Position
2014 Value

2015 Value
Star Value
Jay Cutler
QB
11

9
Arian Foster
RB
1

n/a
Daniel Herron
RB
FA

7
Colin Kaepernick
QB
8

6
Jarvis Landry
WR
FA

7
*
Johnny Manziel
QB
13

11
Lesean Mc Coy
RB
1

n/a
Darren Sproles
RB
6

4
Kenny Stills
WR
10

8
Delanie Walker
TE
12

10
*
Roddy White
WR
3

1
Terrance Williams
WR
7

5




LRY VLNS

Name
Position
2014 Value

2015 Value
Star Value
Knile Davis
RB
FA

7
Josh Gordon
WR
9

7
*** (jk)
Jimmy Graham
TE
1

n/a
RG III
QB
6

4
Percy Harvin
WR
10k

8
Doug Martin
RB
2

n/a
Jordan Matthews
WR
13

11
***
Mark Sanchez
QB
FA

7
Ryan Tannehill
QB
13

11
***
Shane Vereen
RB
3

1
Mike Wallace
WR
5

3




DICKHEAD

Name
Position
2014 Value

2015 Value
Star Value
Drew Brees
QB
1

n/a
Charles Clay
TE
10

8
Marques Colston
WR
8

6
Mike Evans
WR
8

6
***
Desean Jackson
WR
5

3
Fred Jackson
RB
8

6
Tre Mason
RB
FA

7
Heath Miller
TE
12

10
Mychal Rivera
TE
FA

7
Johnathan Stewart
RB
FA

7
**
Pierre Thomas
RB
8

6
Robert Woods
WR
FA

7




NEGRO SAILFISH

Name
Position
2014 Value

2015 Value
Star Value
Keenan Allen
WR
7k

5
Michael Crabtree
WR
11k

9
Coby Fleener
TE
13

11
**
Steven Jackson
RB
8

6
Stevie Johnson
WR
FA

7
Marshawn Lynch
RB
1

n/a
Josh McCown
QB
FA

7
Darren Mc Fadden
RB
10

8
*
Alfred Morris
RB
2

n/a
Cam Newton
QB
3

1
Sammy Watkins
WR
6

4




FARTASSIAN

Name
Position
2014 Value

2015 Value
Star Value
Teddy Bridgewater
QB
14

12
*
Andy Dalton
QB
10k

8
Justin Forsett
RB
FA

7
***
Allen Hurns
WR
FA

7
Carlos Hyde
RB
6

4
*
Andre Johnson
WR
5

3
Travis Kelce
TE
FA

7
*
Brandon Lafell
WR
FA

7
*
Bishop Sankey
RB
4

2
Golden Tate
WR
11

9
**
Reggie Wayne
WR
5

3




SOPE PRO

Name
Position
2014 Value

2015 Value
Star Value
Bryce Brown
RB
14

12
Jamaal Charles
RB
1

n/a
Toby Gerhart
RB
7k

5
AJ Green
WR
1

n/a
TY Hilton
WR
5

3
*
Deandre Hopkins
WR
9

7
***
Julio Jones
WR
2

n/a
Andrew Luck
QB
3

1
Khiry Robinson
RB
12

10
Charles Sims
RB
FA

7
Julius Thomas
TE
7k

5
Russell Wilson
QB
9

7
**




VICTORIOUS SECRET

Name
Position
2014 Value

2015 Value
Star Value
Martellus Bennett
TE
11

9
*
Jeremy Hill
RB
11

9
***
Chris Ivory
RB
14

12
**
Vincent Jackson
WR
3

1
Jerick Mckinnon
RB
FA

7
Chrstine Michael
RB
FA

7
Latavius Murray
RB
FA

7
**
Steve Smith Sr
WR
13

11
*
Matthew Stafford
QB
4

2
Demaryius Thomas
WR
1

n/a
Andre Williams
RB
FA

7
Jason Witten
TE
5

3




POLK HIGH PANTHERS

Name
Position
2014 Value

2015 Value
Star Value
Odell Beckham
WR
FA

7
***
Martavis Bryant
WR
FA

7
Pierre Garcon
WR
4

2
Frank Gore
RB
2

n/a
Mark Ingram
RB
13

11
***
Ryan Matthews
RB
4k

2
Jordan Reed
TE
5

3
Ben Roethlisberger
QB
12

10
**
Matt Ryan
QB
8

6
*
Emmanuel Sanders
WR
7

5
**
Mohamed Sanu
WR
FA

7
Ben Tate
RB
5

3